Modeling the Influence of Geopolitical Risk and Trade Policy Volatility on Supply Chain Resilience and Reconfiguration Strategies

Authors

  • Giulio Bianca Logistics Coordinator, Italy Author

Keywords:

supply chain resilience, geopolitical risk, trade policy, reconfiguration, risk modeling, supply chain management

Abstract

Global supply chains are increasingly vulnerable to exogenous shocks arising from geopolitical tensions and volatile trade policies. This study models the dynamic effects of geopolitical risk and trade policy volatility on supply chain resilience, examining how firms respond through reconfiguration strategies. Using an integrated econometric and simulation-based modeling approach, the paper identifies causal relationships between macro-level uncertainties and operational adaptations, with empirical illustrations from major global trade corridors. The findings underscore the importance of adaptive strategies like nearshoring, dual sourcing, and digital visibility to maintain supply continuity in uncertain environments.

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Published

2022-02-05